Preview and predictions for UFC 262: Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler.
For the primary time since November 2016, the undisputed UFC light-weight championship may have a titleholder not named Conor McGregor or Khabib Nurmagomedov. At UFC 262, Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler will do battle to find out the brand new champion.
Getting into his fortieth skilled MMA struggle at simply 31 years outdated, Oliveira enters this bout with eight straight wins and 9 victories in his final 10 bouts. The holder of essentially the most submissions and Efficiency of the Night time bonuses in UFC historical past, Oliveira earned this title shot with a one-sided win over former interim champ Tony Ferguson at UFC 256 in December.
Chandler, the previous three-time Bellator light-weight champion, had one of many largest debuts in UFC historical past in January, the place he knocked out Dan Hooker within the co-main occasion of UFC 257.
Who will win at UFC 262: Charles Oliveira or Michael Chandler?
The primary, five-round co-main occasion in UFC historical past was imagined to happen at this occasion with Leon Edwards assembly Nate Diaz. However with that bout delayed to UFC 263, the co-main will now see Ferguson in motion towards Beneil Dariush in one other light-weight encounter.
The 12 months 2020 was one to neglect for Ferguson, as he noticed his UFC light-weight report 12-fight unbeaten streak snapped in losses to Justin Gaethje and Oliveira. Dariush, in the meantime, has received six straight, most not too long ago edging Carlos Diego Ferreira in a cut up resolution in February.
The remainder of the primary card will spherical with some pretty stacked matchups as nicely:Katlyn Chookagian vs. Viviane Araujo, Shane Burgos vs. Edson Barboza and Matt Schnell vs. Rogerio Bontorin.
Let’s check out the UFC 262 principal card in additional depth.
Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler preview and prediction
Since a return to light-weight in 2017, Charles Oliveira has racked up quite a few victories which have led him to surge into the higher echelon of the UFC’s 155-pound contenders. Actually, his win over Tony Ferguson at UFC 256 in December was the primary time since defeating Jeremy Stephens in late 2014 the place Oliveira went the gap in a win. Oliveira, who holds the UFC report for many submissions, has scored tapout victories over the likes of Clay Guida, Christos Giagos, Jim Miller, David Teymur and Kevin Lee, whereas additionally scoring KO/TKO wins over Nik Lentz and Jared Gordon in his present streak.
For over a decade, Michael Chandler competed for Bellator and was seen as certainly one of its prime faces, turning into a three-time light-weight champion within the course of. His wars with Eddie Alvarez will go down as two of MMA’s biggest fights ever, and along with Alvarez, Chandler’s time in Bellator noticed him rating wins over Patricky “Pitbull” Freire, David Rickels, Derek Campos, Goiti Yamauchi and former UFC light-weight champ Benson Henderson. Signing with the UFC as a free agent in 2020, Chandler made his highly-anticipated Octagon debut at UFC 257 in January, scoring an enormous, first-round knockout of Dan Hooker within the night’s co-main occasion.
Oliveira may have a two-inch edge in top and a three-inch attain benefit on this bout.
This looks like a case the place each males haven’t fought anybody of their sort of specialty. It’s unsure if Chandler has confronted anybody with the grappling prowess that Oliveira has — no less than not in a protracted whereas. And the identical goes for Oliveira in terms of Chandler’s energy. Chandler is a wrestler by background, however with Oliveira’s grappling skillset, he’ll attempt to maintain this on the ft and get the job executed early. And the vice-versa goes for Oliveira’s placing.
That being stated, neither man looks as if they’ll gasoline out and this one could possibly be unpredictable by way of how a lot time will likely be spent each methods. It’ll be a struggle for nevertheless lengthy it lasts, and this one is an entire toss-up. However finally, Chandler’s energy could also be an excessive amount of. And simply consider that sort of story — Chandler, in his second-ever UFC struggle, turning into a champion.
Prediction: Chandler through third-round KO/TKO
Tony Ferguson vs. Beneil Dariush preview and prediction
It wasn’t way back when Tony Ferguson was within the midst of his report 12-fight light-weight win streak within the UFC, a streak that featured him scoring six Struggle of the Night time bonuses and three Efficiency of the Night time bonuses, in addition to defeating Kevin Lee at UFC 216 to briefly maintain the interim UFC light-weight championship. Ferguson, nevertheless, has now misplaced two straight in convincing trend, being stopped by Justin Gaethje of their interim title struggle at UFC 249 and receiving a one-sided whooping by the hands of Charles Oliveira at UFC 256.
Beneil Dariush, in the meantime, has been on a roll over the previous couple of years that Ferguson as soon as discovered himself in. Dariush will enter this struggle having received his final six straight, with three efficiency bonuses in finishes of Drew Dober, Frank Camacho and Drakkar Klose, in addition to a Struggle of the Night time bonus in his most up-to-date outing, a cut up resolution over Carlos Diego Ferreira in February.
Ferguson may have only a one-inch edge in top, however he may have a notable four-inch attain benefit. Trying on the FightMetrics, Ferguson has extra strikes landed per minute, however Dariush is barely higher by way of accuracy. Ferguson has eaten a whole lot of blows over his previous couple of fights, and that has helped result in him being behind Dariush within the placing differential. Ferguson has first rate floor abilities, too, however Dariush is the higher grappler, by the numbers no less than.
For Ferguson, it is a must-win if he needs to stay a legit contender within the light-weight division. Certain, his final two fights had been to guys within the title image, however they had been one-sided butt whoopings. Ferguson could have received one spherical at most within the Gaethje; in any other case, he’s going into this struggle having misplaced eight of his final eight rounds.
Dariush, in the meantime, whereas having not confronted the extent of competitors Ferguson has, has been a ending machine and has seemed spectacular. Dariush has all of the momentum proper now, and a win right here over Ferguson could be his largest by far and launch him into the title image talks.
Prediction: Dariush through unanimous resolution
Katlyn Chookagian vs. Viviane Araujo preview and prediction
Since dropping in her flyweight title shot towards Valentina Shevchenko at UFC 247, Katlyn Chookagian bounced again with a win over Valentina’s sister, Antonina, however fell to Jessica Andrade in one other potential title eliminator. Chookagian bought again within the win column lower than a month later in a unanimous resolution win over Cynthia Calvillo at UFC 255.
Viviane Araujo was fast to impress coming over to the UFC from Pancrase in 2019. Her Octagon run began with wins over Talita Bernardo and Alexis Davis, however she suffered a setback in a choice loss to Jessica Eye. Araujo has bounced again to win one other two straight, defeating Montana De La Rosa and Roxanne Modafferi.
The Story of the Tape has Chookagian coming in with a five-inch benefit in top, although each girls sport the same attain. In response to the FightMetrics, Araujo has a barely higher strikes-landed output, however her accuracy is as respectable, if no more, than Chookagian’s. Araujo, in the meantime, has grappling numbers that blow Chookagian’s out of the water on paper, however Chookagian has seemed spectacular together with her grappling since previous to the Antonina Shevchenko bout.
Chookagian additionally has some nice cardio and has solely misplaced to among the finest this resolution has to supply. She could trigger some bother for Araujo by maintaining distance by utilizing her footwork, kicks, and to a level her top. Araujo most likely has an excellent displaying right here and nobody ought to promote her primarily based on this one struggle — in actual fact, she would possibly even win a spherical right here (and also you by no means know the way the Texas fee will rating a struggle) — however Chookagian’s expertise could nab her the win.
Prediction: Chookagian through unanimous resolution
Shane Burgos vs. Edson Barboza preview and prediction
After an unbeaten run within the Cage Fury Preventing Championships (CFFC), Shane Burgos began his UFC run off with straight victories over Tiago Trator, Charles Rosa and Godofredo Pepey earlier than struggling his first-ever loss towards Calvin Kattar. Burgos rebounded with wins towards Kurt Holobaugh, Cub Swanson and Makwan Amirkhani, however he misplaced his most up-to-date struggle — a choice towards Josh Emmett in certainly one of 2020’s most entertaining fights.
After dropping 4 of 5 at light-weight, the place he was typically thought of a gatekeeper, Edson Barboza moved to featherweight final 12 months. He dropped a detailed, controversial resolution towards Dan Ige however rebounded with a choice win over Amirkhani in October.
Bodily, these two are the Mike Goldberg-Esque “nearly an identical.” Burgos tends to be in some massive placing wars, and his FightMetrics numbers mirror that. His strikes landed per minute is insanely excessive, as is his strikes absorbed. And but, Burgos’ placing accuracy is best than Barboza’s, and their placing protection percentages are equal — and he has the higher placing differential.
We might go into their floor numbers, however this one ought to be anticipated to be contrasted principally, if not all, on the ft with the 2 in one more placing struggle. That is actually some fairly nice matchmaking; two nice strikers with one attempting to interrupt into the top-10 of his newer weight class, whereas the present top-10 fighter checks himself towards one of many UFC’s extra skilled and recognized abilities.
Barboza has the expertise edge by far, and he can nonetheless maintain issues going. If Burgos rushes in and goes in with this “get struck to land strikes” technique, he opens himself as much as both getting blasted or Barboza utilizing extra affected person and correct placing to get the job executed. For Burgos, he can win this struggle if he fights an clever placing recreation — staying affected person and deciding on his photographs, touchdown crisp combos on the proper time and pushing the tempo.
This struggle might probably be your Struggle of the Night time, and it’s going to be a barn burner.
Prediction: Burgos through unanimous resolution
Matt Schnell vs. Rogerio Bontorin preview and prediction
Regardless of dropping his first two fights with the UFC after coming in by way of season 24 of The Final Fighter, Matt Schnell has received 5 of his final six, with wins over Louis Smolka, Jordan Espinosa and Tyson Nam.
Rogerio Bontorin, who entered the UFC by way of a win over Gustavo Gabriel Silva on the primary season of Dana White’s Contender Collection Brazil, received his first pair of Octagon bouts by defeating Magomed Bibulatov and Raulian Paiva. He, nevertheless, will come into this bout off two straight losses, dropping a choice to Ray Borg earlier than getting knocked out earlier this 12 months by Kai Kara-France.
Schnell will enter this struggle with three inches in each top and attain on Bontorin. Per FightMetrics, Schenll will are available with a better placing output, however Bontorin is the extra correct lander. Schnell, nevertheless, has a a lot better placing differential when contemplating his defensive placing quantity as fairly above Bonotorin’s.
Bontorin, nevertheless, has the sting within the floor recreation, averaging simply over a takedown per struggle, with neither holding one of the best edge in takedown accuracy or protection proportion.
On paper, this will likely seem like your typical striker vs. grappler battle, and if Schnell can maintain this struggle standing, he definitely may have the benefit right here. However even when this struggle will get to the bottom, Schnell has respectable grappling and floor abilities, and we now have seen Bontorin submitted earlier than — albeit not for a number of years.
Schnell simply looks as if the general higher fighter and this struggle ought to mirror that.
Prediction: Schnell through unanimous resolution
UFC 262 takes place on Saturday, Could 15, 2021, reside from the Toyota Heart in Houston, TX. Observe together with FanSided for all of your reside information and highlights.