Expected Points, June 4: Iga Swiatek Races Into the History Books


Anticipated Factors, my new brief, day by day podcast, highlights three numbers for instance stats, tendencies, and attention-grabbing trivia across the sport.

Up at this time: Iga units her sights on a powerful report held by Justine Henin, Philipp Kohlschreiber may simply make it to Tokyo, and a pair of maximum longshots arrange lopsided battles within the males’s third spherical.

Scroll down for a transcript.

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Music: Love is the Chase by Admiral Bob (c) copyright 2021. Licensed beneath a Artistic Commons Attribution Noncommercial (3.0) license. Ft: Apoxode

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Tough transcript of at this time’s episode:

The primary quantity is 40, the consecutive units gained by Justine Henin at Roland Garros between 2005 and 2010. After dropping the second set to Svetlana Kuznetsova within the fourth spherical of the ’05 French Open, Henin wouldn’t lose one other set till she performed Maria Sharapova within the third spherical in 2010. She gained that match, too, although Sam Stosur lastly stopped her within the following spherical. Between these two blips, the Belgian gained 19 consecutive straight-setters, claiming three titles. Now, Iga Swiatek is on a streak of her personal, with 18 straight units gained at Roland Garros after dispatching Rebecca Peterson final night time. Her streak is seventh longest on the event amongst Open Period girls, and she will transfer up two extra locations with a win towards Anett Kontaveit this weekend. Ought to Swiatek handle one other blemish-free title and lengthen her streak to twenty-eight, she’ll overtake Steffi Graf and Arantxa Sanchez Vicario, every of whom ran off 26 straight units and are at the moment tied for the second-longest French Open streak. It’s a bit early to begin putting odds on whether or not Iga will in the end tie Henin at 40, however even when she stumbles towards Kontaveit, she’s already performed her manner into elite firm.

Our second quantity is 2, Philipp Kohlschreiber’s win whole towards top-100 gamers for the reason that restart final summer season. Each of these wins have come within the final three days, as Kohlschreiber knocked out Fernando Verdasco and twenty fourth seed Aslan Karatsev to succeed in the Roland Garros third spherical. The German hadn’t gained back-to-back matches at a tour stage occasion since Rome two years in the past, and it’s his first grand slam third spherical for the reason that US Open in 2018. At age 37, Kohlschreiber’s current descent out of the highest 100 and into Challenger attracts appeared everlasting, as he has missed time to a hip harm and struggled to string wins collectively even towards second-tier competitors. However he has one near-term motivation: to qualify for the Tokyo Olympics. In the meanwhile, he’s ranked fifth amongst Germans, which isn’t adequate. In an interview on the Heilbronn Challenger final month, he mentioned {that a} French Open quarter-final would get him into place. Outlandish because it sounded on the time, his math was proper. He’s two wins away from overtaking Yannick Hanfmann because the German #4 and presumably incomes that journey to Japan.

Immediately’s third and remaining quantity is 251st, Kwon Soonwoo’s rating in my clay-only Elo scores. Kwon, a 23-year-old from Korea, has performed solely 21 skilled clay-court matches, shedding greater than half of them. All of this makes him the largest shock on this yr’s French Open third spherical after overcoming veterans Kevin Anderson and Andreas Seppi. Kwon’s surprising run will certainly finish quickly, as he faces ninth seed Matteo Berrettini within the third spherical. However in accordance with my forecast, he isn’t the person with probably the most hopeless odds of reaching the spherical of 16. That honor belongs to Ricardas Berankis, a hard-court specialist who knocked out the much more clay-phobic Ugo Humbert within the opening spherical. Like Kwon, Berankis ranks exterior the highest 100 in my clay-specific scores, however his greatest drawback tomorrow would be the man on the opposite aspect of the web, Novak Djokovic. Berankis and Djokovic met within the Roland Garros second spherical final fall, and the competition—for those who can name it that—lasted all of 83 minutes. For both Berankis or Kwon, reaching the 90-minute mark on Saturday will imply it’s been a superb day on the clay.


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