The 149th Open: Discussing the Odds of the Top Contenders


A yr later than scheduled, Shane Lowry will probably be heading off to Sandwich, Kent, within the hope of retaining the Claret Jug he received in 2019. The 149th Open takes place from the Fifteenth-18th July at Royal St George’s. The course final held the occasion in 2011 – when Darren Clarke was a shock winner. It’s not the best course on The Open rotation, nevertheless it’s no Carnoustie both. It’s what gamers wish to name a “truthful” course.

As for the contenders this yr, it’s, nicely – it appears very open. It’s all the time value taking the percentages with a pinch of salt when betting on golf, notably the majors. This yr, we’ve got already seen a shock winner with Phil Mickelson taking the PGA Championship – “Lefty” was 150/1 with some sportsbooks earlier than rolling again the years at Kiawah Island. The final two winners of The Open at Royal St George’s, Darren Clarke (2011) and Ben Curtis (2003), have been additionally big betting outsiders.

So, do the percentages matter? Sure, and no. Punters are certain to be eager on Jon Rahm, who’s the present favorite at 9/1. Rahm regained the world primary spot after his maiden US Open victory final month, and he’s clearly the shape participant going into The Open. His document at The Open isn’t nice, nonetheless, and he has by no means completed within the high 10 within the occasion.

McIlroy and Johnson Have Struggled

Subsequent within the betting markets comes the same old suspects: Rory McIlroy (11/1), Dustin Johnson (12/1) and Brooks Koepka (14/1). The percentages for the McIlroy and Johnson look extremely brief, though neither would signify a shock winner. McIlroy’s recreation continues to be all over, and he appears able to the elegant and the ridiculous from gap to gap. In the meantime, it’s been ignored by the media simply how poor Johnson’s type has been in 2021 – a hangover from that gorgeous Masters victory final November? Johnson, too, has a poor document at The Open, however his best-ever end got here at Royal St George’s, tying for second place behind Darren Clarke.

After which there may be Bryson de Chambeau (18/1). We talked about earlier that Royal St George’s is seen as a “truthful” course, and we marvel how the big-driving American will cope with it. Arguably, there may be extra to the American’s recreation than energy – rather more – however he might simply be punished for inaccuracy at The Open.

Lowry Can Make a Respectable Protection

Maybe probably the most attention-grabbing participant within the subject is Lowry, who is taken into account a 40/1 shot. Lowry’s type tailed off for some time after his victory in 2019, however he has pushed his means again in latest months. He completed 4th within the PGA Championship, and his twenty fifth place end at The Masters belied simply how good he was at Augusta. 40/1 appears truthful for a participant ranked forty third on this planet, even when he’s the defending champion. However don’t rule out the Irishman making a great fist of that defence.

One other shock winner is greater than attainable, in fact. However the issue going through punters is that participant could possibly be virtually anybody from the 156-man subject. Sure, historical past tells us which you can rule out among the amateurs and senior gamers, however Mickelson’s victory on the PGA Championship will make punters considerably trepidatious of dismissing anybody. That aspect, whereas a ache for golf’s many punters, is arguably what makes Majors so thrilling. And it must be no totally different in a number of days’ time at Royal St George’s.


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