Expected Points, June 16: CoCo Vandeweghe is Serving Big

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Anticipated Factors, my new quick, each day podcast, highlights three numbers as an instance stats, traits, and fascinating trivia across the sport.

Up immediately: Marin Cilic retains successful on his favourite floor, Vandeweghe is deep sleeper choose for Wimbledon, and Sebastian Korda joins a formidable listing of multi-faceted stars.

Scroll down for a transcript.

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Music: Love is the Chase by Admiral Bob (c) copyright 2021. Licensed below a Inventive Commons Attribution Noncommercial (3.0) license. Ft: Apoxode

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Tough transcript of immediately’s episode:

The primary quantity is 2nd, Marin Cilic’s rating within the Tennis Summary grass-only Elo rankings. That doesn’t imply that Cilic is the 2nd favourite behind Djokovic for the Wimbledon title—removed from it. Grass-only rankings are derived from—you guessed it—solely outcomes on grass courts, which have been arduous to return by within the final two years. Not solely Cilic win the primary obtainable tour-level title on turf final week, however his profession grass-court credentials are top-notch. Along with his 2017 Wimbledon remaining, he has a 31-10 profession file at Queen’s Membership, the place he opened a brand new marketing campaign final night time. Three years in the past, a veritable blink of a watch when it comes to Covid-era grass-court outcomes, Cilic gained the London title, defeated Sam Querrey, Nick Kyrgios, and Djokovic in succession. His win yesterday over qualifier Sebastian Ofner wasn’t precisely a confidence booster, as he wanted a third-set tiebreak to succeed in the second spherical. But apart from a weak displaying on break factors, Cilic turned in a strong outing. He gained 55% of complete factors, proper according to his standard charge in grass-court wins.

Our second quantity is 13, CoCo Vandeweghe’s ace complete out of solely 61 service factors on Monday. Vandeweghe certified for the primary attract Birmingham, and her first-round match was an ace-off with Kristyna Pliskova, who fired 12 of her personal. The American got here by in straight units, not simply topping Pliskova within the ace column but in addition outplaying her on the uncommon factors that went past the primary shot. If you happen to’re in search of a deep sleeper choose for Wimbledon, you can do worse than Vandeweghe. She’s ranked outdoors the highest 200, however she has reached the second week of Wimbledon thrice. And this week, Vandeweghe’s serve is at full energy. She cracked 18 aces in opposition to Kateryna Kozlova within the remaining qualifying spherical, making two straight matches wherein about one in 5 of her first serves was untouchable. The final time she achieved such a excessive ace charge on grass was six years in the past at Wimbledon, when she confronted Kristyna Pliskova’s sister, Karolina.

Right this moment’s third and remaining quantity is 11, the variety of energetic males who beat a top-25 participant on arduous, clay, and grass courts earlier than their twenty first birthday. Sebastian Korda was the newest to affix this elite group along with his first-round upset of Roberto Bautista Agut on grass in Halle yesterday. Earlier this 12 months, he knocked out each Fabio Fognini and Diego Schwartzman on arduous courts in Miami, and final fall, he beat John Isner at Roland Garros. That’s greater than only a listing of top-25 scalps for Korda, as a pair of top-tenners are amongst them. He joins the likes of Federer, Nadal, Djokovic, Tsitsipas, and Auger Aliassime with about three weeks to spare earlier than he turns 21 subsequent month. Ranked 52nd, Korda is third amongst under-21s on the ATP laptop behind Auger Aliassime and Jannik Sinner, and the Tennis Summary Elo rankings charge him forward of Auger Aliassime at twenty sixth total. Nevertheless shortly he makes his seemingly inevitable rise to the highest, Korda has demonstrated the aptitude to interrupt by on any floor.

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