Oklahoma or Missouri? Choosing Gonzaga’s doubtless Spherical 2 opponent in 2021 March Insanity bracket

With the 2021 NCAA Match subject now introduced and March Insanity motion being able to tip off, individuals have already began to fill out their brackets and do lot of analysis. The areas have been examined, sleepers have been recognized, and the winners of most areas have already been determined.

Within the seek for an ideal bracket, there may be one factor that tends to confound even probably the most expert bracketologists. That is the 9-8 matchup. Yearly, these video games are coin-flips and in 2021, it is no totally different. Each 9 vs. 8 matchup will show to be tough and although few will decide the winner of this recreation to advance previous the No. 1 seed they’re more likely to play, it is nonetheless disheartening to decide on the incorrect workforce in that matchup.

This 12 months, the Oklahoma Sooners and Missouri Tigers are collaborating in a type of 9-8 video games; and which will nicely show to be probably the most troublesome matchup to prognosticate.

The Sooners and Tigers are a lot alike. Each have large wins over ranked groups. Each have scuffled down the stretch. Each have even posted related numbers in most main stat classes on each side of the ball. Choosing between Oklahoma (15-10, 9-8 Large 12) and Missouri (16-9, 8-8 SEC) will show to be robust and will have a huge impact in workplace bracket swimming pools and different contests.

With that, this is every little thing you must know concerning the matchup between Oklahoma and Missouri, together with rankings, key gamers, season breakdowns and extra:

EXPERT BRACKET PICKS:
DeCourcy (Gonzaga) | Bender (Illinois) | Fagan (Gonzaga) | Lutovsky (Baylor)

Oklahoma vs. Missouri odds

Oklahoma-Missouri is scheduled to be twenty eighth recreation performed within the first spherical of March Insanity. It is going to be the final of the 9-8 matchups performed throughout the 2021 NCAA Match and is the fourth-to-last tip-off of Spherical 1. Per DraftKings Sportsbook, Oklahoma is favored by two factors on this one. Under are the small print of their recreation, together with the betting odds, time, TV and venue.

  • Odds: Oklahoma (-2)
  • Date: Saturday, March 20
  • Time: 7:25 p.m. ET
  • TV: TNT
  • Area: Lucas Oil Stadium Equality (North)

Oklahoma (15-10, 9-8 Large 12)

Oklahoma has been one of many higher packages within the Large 12 over the course of the final 25 years. The Sooners have been to the NCAA Match 20 occasions in 25 possibilities since 1995 and has made it to the Closing 4 twice in that span. Additionally they produced No. 1 general decide Blake Griffin from the 2009 NBA Draft and Buddy Hield, who’s on observe to be one of many NBA’s greatest shooters of all time. Trae Younger additionally blossomed right into a star there.

Whereas the Sooners have produced quite a lot of NBA-caliber expertise through the years, they’ve by no means received March Insanity. They’ve been the runner-up twice, the final of which got here in 1988, however they’re going to be seeking to go on a deeper-than-expected match run in Lon Kruger’s tenth season on the helm.

That mentioned, the Sooners have scuffled of late of their quest to qualify. They’re simply 1-5 of their final six video games and their solely win in that span came visiting the 2-22 Iowa State Cyclones. And that Large 12 Match victory was by a mere six factors.

That mentioned, the Sooners do have some spectacular wins on their schedule. Notably, that they had a three-game profitable streak towards top-10 groups Kansas, Texas, and Alabama in late January. Additionally they have overwhelmed West Virginia twice. Nevertheless, in addition they have misplaced to Xavier and Kansas State this 12 months and have misplaced seven different video games towards ranked groups. Their expertise towards highly-ranked groups within the stacked Large 12 ought to give them an opportunity to compete with the robust competitors they’re going to face within the NCAA Match.

  • NET rating: 37
  • KenPom rating: 39
  • Quad 1 report: 5-9
  • Quad 2 report: 0-0
  • Quad 3 report: 4-1
  • Quad 4 report: 6-0
  • Offensive effectivity rating: thirty sixth
  • Defensive effectivity: 53rd

Key gamers

Austin Reaves (6-5, 206-pound senior guard)
17.7 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 4.7 apg

De’Vion Harmon (6-2, 198-pound sophomore guard)
12.9 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.1 apg

Brady Manek (6-9, 231-pound senior ahead)
10.8 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 0.9 apg

Umoja Gibson (6-1, 176-pound redshirt senior ahead)
9.5 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 1.2 apg

Elijah Harkless (6-3, 195-pound junior guard)
7.8 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 2.4 apg

REGION BREAKDOWNS:
WEST | EAST | SOUTH | MIDWEST

Missouri (16-9, 8-8 SEC)

Missouri is one other program that has carried out nicely during the last 20+ years. Since 1999, they’ve made it to March Insanity 12 occasions and so they have performed in order part of the Large 12 and the SEC.

This 12 months, Missouri was a little bit of a curler coaster. They began the 12 months 6-0 with spectacular non-conference wins over ranked groups Illinois (a 1 seed within the NCAA Match) and Oregon whereas additionally beating two different match groups, Wichita State and Oral Roberts. Additionally they beat two different ranked groups, Tennesee and Alabama.

Nevertheless, Missouri light a bit down the stretch. They had been 3-6 of their final 9 video games and misplaced to Ole Miss twice and Georgia as soon as throughout that span. In the event that they need to play nicely towards Oklahoma, they’ll must play as they did within the earlier phases of the season versus the later phases. Both approach, Cuonzo Martin has performed an important job of getting this Missouri program on the match path.

  • NET rating: 47
  • KenPom rating: 51
  • Quad 1 report: 7-6
  • Quad 2 report: 2-3
  • Quad 3 report: 6-0
  • Quad 4 report: 1-0
  • Offensive effectivity rating: 51st
  • Defensive effectivity: 58th

Key gamers

Dru Smith (6-3, 203-pound senior guard)
14.1 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 3.9 apg

Xavier Pinson (6-2, 170-pound junior guard)
14.1 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 2.8 apg

Jeremiah Tilmon (6-10, 260-pound senior ahead)
12.3 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 0.9 apg

Mark Smith (6-5, 220-pound senior guard)
9.6 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 1.0 apg

Kobe Brown (6-7, 240-pound sophomore ahead)
8.0 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 0.8 apg

BRACKET TIPS: KenPom | Play the percentages | Fool’s information

Oklahoma vs. Missouri prediction

That is arguably the most important toss-up of the 8-9 video games. Each groups evaluate fairly favorably, as you may see by way of the desk beneath.

Oklahoma (8) Staff Missouri (9)
74.8 Factors Per Sport 73.6
36.6 Rebounds Per Sport 35.7
33.84 3-point proportion 32.04
44.2 General Taking pictures proportion 44.9
71.5 Tempo 72.8

So, Missouri performs barely sooner and shoots a little bit higher than Oklahoma, however the Sooners shoot a bit higher from deep and are higher on the glass. Each groups have three double-digit scorers on their roster and have one participant that may shoot it 38 % or higher from past the arc.

All advised, this recreation nicely might come right down to the ultimate possession and with each groups on a skid of late, it is arduous to know which one to belief. That mentioned, in a recreation that could possibly be determined by one shot, it is normally higher to belief the workforce with the higher 3-point capturing. The Sooners qualify, particularly since Umoja Gibson has made a whopping 41.5 % of his 3-pointers this 12 months whereas taking 5.4 3-point pictures per recreation.

Historical past of 8 vs. 9 matchups in NCAA Match

In reality, all through the historical past of the NCAA Match, the 9 and eight seed matchup has been comparatively even. It is the most important coin-flip on any bracket, and it is the one one of many typical first-round matchups the place the underdog has a bonus over the higher-seeded workforce. The No. 9 seeds maintain a slight fringe of 72-68.

For those who’re latest historical past, the No. 8 seed has held a slight fringe of late. They’ve posted a 24-20 report during the last 11 NCAA Tournaments, however it’s price noting that No. 9 seeds received all of the 9-8 matchups final 12 months.

So, what does this imply? The developments will not give us a lot of an edge on this coin-flip recreation, so that you’re simply going to must go together with your intestine. Oklahoma looks as if the higher decide by the slimmest of margins in our eyes, however a robust case could possibly be made for Missouri as nicely.

Under is a breakdown of the wins 9 seeds have loved over 8 seeds the final 10 tournaments:

Yr Consequence
2019 UCF 73, VCU 58
  Baylor 78, Syracuse 69
  Oklahoma 95, Ole Miss 72
  Washington 78, Utah State 61
2018 Alabama 86, Virginia Tech 83
  Kansas State 69, Creighton 59
  Florida State 67, Missouri 54
2017 Michigan State 78, Miami 58
2016 Butler 71, Texas Tech 61
  Windfall 70, USC 69
  Uconn 74, Colorado 67
2014 Pittsburgh 77, Colorado 48
2013 Temple 76, NC State 72
  Wichita State 73, Pittsburgh 55
2012 St. Louis 61, Memphis 54
2011 Illinois 73, UNLV 62
2010 Wake Forest 81, Texas 80
  Northern Iowa 69, UNLV 66
2009 Siena 74, Ohio State 72
  Texas A&M 79, BYU 66



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