HomeNHLCapitals Forwards: Efficiency Evaluation After 31 Video games
Capitals Forwards: Efficiency Evaluation After 31 Video games
March 21, 2021
With the Capitals now having fun with a four-day break earlier than they resume their second half of the 2020-21 common season, it’s a superb time to get caught-up on a couple of of the story strains from the primary half of season. We start at this time with an replace on the efficiency of the Capitals forwards through the first 31 video games of the season.
The evaluation, much like our defensemen efficiency evaluation, will analyze and evaluate every of the Capitals forwards utilizing plenty of statistical metrics, together with:
Pictures/Taking pictures Proportion
Offensive Zone Begins
The evaluation will embrace all Capitals forwards with a minimal of six video games performed, or 50 minutes of ice time. All stats are even-strength (5v5) until in any other case famous.
We start with fundamental targets, assists and complete factors for every of the Capitals forwards, that are offered within the graph under. (Click on to enlarge).
Alex Ovechkin leads the group in targets (14) and is second on the group in complete factors (25). Nicklas Backstrom leads the group in assists (22), in complete factors (34) and is second on the group in targets (12). Jakub Vrana is third on the group in targets (10) and complete factors (21). T.J. Oshie is third in assists (13) and fifth on the group in complete factors (20). Tom Wilson is fifth in complete factors (18).
Factors Per Sport
The next graph merely plots the factors per sport common for every of the Capitals forwards after 31 video games. (Click on to enlarge).
Nicklas Backstrom has the best common factors per sport and is the one ahead above a degree per sport at 1.10 factors per sport. Alex Ovechkin is second at .93 factors per sport, adopted by Tom Wilson at 0.82 and Jakub Vrana (.70) factors per sport.
The next graph merely plots the full pictures and capturing share for every of the Capitals forwards. (Click on to enlarge).
To no shock, Alex Ovechkin leads all forwards in complete pictures (110), almost double that of Jakub Vrana, who’s second (60), adopted by T.J. Oshie (55) and Nicklas Backstrom (54).
Daniel Sprong leads all forwards in capturing share (25.0%), adopted by Nicklas Backstrom (22.2%) and Tom Wilson (21.2%).
The next graph plots the distinction between takeaways and giveaways for every of the Capitals forwards. (TkA – GvA).
Nic Dowd leads all forwards with a +15 differential, adopted by Nicklas Backstrom (+7), Tom Wilson (+4) and Conor Sheary (+3). Carl Hagelin (2) and Evgeny Kuznetsov (2) are the one different Capitals forwards with a constructive differential.
Daniel Sprong has the worst differential of all forwards, turning the puck over 6 extra instances than he has stolen the puck.
Takeaways/60 and Giveaways/60 Differential
The next graph refines the takeaway/giveaway stats offered above by together with time on ice. The numbers are derived from every gamers differential (above) divided by time on ice ((TkA – GvA)/60.)
Nic Dowd averages almost two extra takeaways per 60 at 1.95. Nicklas Backstrom averages .71 constructive differential per 60, adopted by Tom Wilson at .63 takeaways per 60.
We mixed blocked pictures per 60 and hits per 60 for every of the forwards, that are represented within the subsequent graph.
Garnet Hathaway leads all Capitals forwards in hits per 60 minutes at 14.37. Tom Wilson is second with 11.34 hits per 60, adopted by Alex Ovechkin (7.06), Richard Panik (7.41) and Nic Dowd (6.38).
Nic Dowd leads all forwards in blocked pictures with 3.39 blocks per 60. Richard Panik is second (2.41) adopted by Garnet Hathaway (2.18) and T.J. Oshie (2.05).
The primary graph plots the online penalties for every ahead. Web penalties is just the distinction in penalties drawn and penalties taken.
Alex Ovechkin, Carl Hagelin and Nicklas Backstrom are the one Capitals forwards with a constructive differential. All three gamers have drawn two extra penalties than they’ve taken.
The following graph plots the online penalties per 60 minutes of ice time. In different phrases it’s the penalties drawn minus the penalties taken divided by time on ice.
Carl Hagelin takes this analysis class with a constructive differential of .27 penalties drawn per 60 minutes of ice time. Nicklas Backstrom and Alex Ovechkin are the one different forwards with constructive values.
Daniel Sprong, Evgeny Kuznetsov, Jakub Vrana, T.J. Oshie and Tom Wilson are even. Garnet Hathaway and Nic Dowd have the largest unfavorable differential, adopted by Conor Sheary.
OFFENSIVE ZONES STARTS
The offense I’ve zone begins metric is a crucial stat to be used in any evaluation. It’s merely the proportion of shifts began within the offensive zone. The metric gives a superb indication as to the gamers function on a group, and can be utilized to gauge the general worth of different associated stats.
For instance, if a participant has an xGF% under 50%, but additionally has an offensive zone begin under 50%, it’s most certainly the participant has a defensive or checking function on the group. Thus, a decrease xGF% shouldn’t be as crucial. Conversely, if a participant has a excessive offensive zone begin share, however has an xGF% under 50%, it’s doubtless the participant is underperforming within the anticipated targets class.
The next graph plots the offensive zone begin percentages for every of the Capitals forwards.
The graph reveals coach Laviolette’s use of every participant and signifies the gamers designated function on the group. Prime six gamers (Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Vrana, Backstrom, Oshie and Wilson) have the best share of shifts beginning within the offensive zone. Backside six gamers (Sheary, Eller, Panik, Hagelin, Dowd and Hathaway) have the bottom share of shifts beginning within the offensive zone.
Daniel Sprong is an fascinating case, as his defensive points have primarily relegated him to a prime six offensive zone begins share, leading to an offensive-only deployment function, and why he has been the odd-man out when a full roster is accessible. It’s also large a part of the explanation why he has been benched in favor of Conor Sheary.
The offensive zone begins stat will likely be included within the following part to supply a reference marker for every participant.
The primary possession metrics graph plots the ‘pictures for’ share (CF%), Excessive-Hazard Pictures For (HDCF%) and contains offensive zone begin percentages for reference to how every participant is deployed by coach Laviolette. (Click on to enlarge).
Richard Panik has the best CF% at 53.77% and one of many decrease offensive zone begin percentages at 58.54%. Evgeny Kuznetsov has the second highest CF% at 53.71%, however has the benefit of getting the best offensive zone (shift) begin share at 87.63%.
Lars Eller scores effectively on this class with each CF% (52.38%) and HDCF% (55.56%) above 50%, however has one of many decrease offensive zone begin percentages amongst all Capitals forwards.
Kudos to Carl Hagelin. He has the best HDCF% at 56.57% with the the third lowest offensive zone begin share at 21.64%. Evgeny Kuznetsov has the second highest HDCF% at 55.91%, however once more, he has the very best possibilities for high-danger pictures as a result of he virtually completely begins a shift within the offensive zone.
Richard Panik additionally scores effectively in high-danger scoring possibilities share at 53.13%, once more, with one of many decrease offensive zone begin percentages.
The next graph plots the ‘scoring possibilities for’ (SCF%) and ‘anticipated targets for’ (xGF%) percentages for every of the Capitals forwards. The graph additionally contains offensive zone begin percentages to supply a body of reference for every participant. (Click on to enlarge)
Gamers standing out on this analysis class embrace the fourth line of Carl Hagelin, Nic Dowd and Garnet Hathaway, who all have scoring possibilities and anticipated targets percentages above 50%, however have offensive zone begin percentages effectively under 50%.
Conor Sheary, Lars Eller and Richard Panik are a really shut second. Their ‘scoring possibilities for’ and ‘anticipated targets for’ percentages are additionally above 50% with offensive zone begins round 50%.
AND DOWN THE STRETCH THEY COME
The Capitals can have a more difficult second half of the season, because the they’ve had one of many simpler power of schedules within the first half of the season.
As well as, April will see the Capitals play a whopping 16 video games within the month, which is able to embrace two back-to again units that can require journey after the primary sport of the set. The Capitals can have multiple consecutive day-off simply as soon as throughout your complete month.