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Anticipated Factors, March 30: Aslan Karatsev is Human After All


Anticipated Factors, my new brief, day by day podcast, highlights three numbers for instance stats, developments, and fascinating trivia across the sport.

Up at this time: Jessica Pegula fails to comply with up an enormous upset for the third straight event, Karatsev fingers a straightforward win to Sebastian Korda, and iron girl Sara Sorribes Tormo is studying to make the perfect of onerous courts.

Scroll down for a transcript.

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Music: Love is the Chase by Admiral Bob (c) copyright 2021. Licensed underneath a Artistic Commons Attribution Noncommercial (3.0) license. Ft: Apoxode

The Anticipated Factors podcast remains to be a piece in progress, so please let me know what you suppose.

Tough transcript of at this time’s episode:

The primary quantity is 3, the variety of instances this month that Jessica Pegula has confronted Karolina Pliskova, the variety of instances that Pegula has crushed the Czech, and now, the variety of instances that the American has misplaced within the following match. The Pegula-Pliskova matchup has been one of many extra shocking tales of the 2021 season, because the unheralded American has halved her WTA rating in three months. However despite the fact that the primary two upsets took solely an hour apiece, they could have taken one thing out of Pegula. After overcoming Pliskova, she has misplaced to Petra Kvitova, Elise Mertens, and yesterday in Miami, Maria Sakkari. There’s no disgrace in any of those losses, although they do spotlight the individuality of this specific head-to-head. Pegula is certainly higher than #63 rating with which she ended 2020, however followers are nonetheless ready to see if she will string collectively back-to-back wins in opposition to powerful opponents.

Our second quantity is 31, the variety of unforced errors dedicated by Aslan Karatsev in a surprisingly lopsided loss to 20-year-old American Sebastian Korda. Karatsev has been excellent this yr, incomes a top-five place within the ATP Race to Turin and extra more likely to submit winner totals north of 30 than such miserable unforced error tallies. Within the 6-3 6-0 third-round loss, Karatsev appeared out of kinds, each at lower than 100% bodily and with out his coach, who was unable to get a visa for the American journey. It’s a reminder that establishing oneself on tour in no simple process, even for a expertise just like the Russian. It’s additionally another excuse to take discover of Korda, one of many prime prospects within the recreation. Son of former ATP #2 Petr, Sebi received challenger occasions in November and January, and reached his first ATP last in Delray Seaside to begin the yr. His official rating stays an uninspiring #87, whereas his place within the Elo record is #36. Karatsev would absolutely endorse the latter, and subsequent Monday it would rise even larger, it doesn’t matter what occurs in at this time’s round-of-16 assembly with Diego Schwartzman.

At present’s third and last quantity is 12, the variety of matches Sara Sorribes Tormo has performed this yr that lasted two hours of extra. Her complete has jumped from 8 to 12 on the Miami Open alone, as her path to the quarterfinal—previous seeds Jennifer Brady, Elena Rybakina, and Ons Jabeur—has averaged two hours and 22 minutes per outing. The Spaniard’s 2021 season has been a shock for extra than simply size: she opened the yr with a quarter-final exhibiting in Abu Dhabi, and reeled off a 7 match win streak in Mexico, claiming the Guadalajara title. By turning each match right into a warfare of attrition, she’s making the perfect of a floor she doesn’t desire. Her first three profession titles as a professional got here on clay, however there hasn’t been a lot filth on the WTA tour because the restart. Sorribes Tormo’s resilience has additionally been a defining issue: In yesterday’s upset of Jabeur, she bounced again from a 0-6 second set to win in a decider. Again in November, the Spaniard misplaced 12 straight video games to Aryna Sabalenka after taking a 6-0 4-0 lead. A lot has been fabricated from Sabalenka’s scorching streak since then, however maybe the extra spectacular feat is that Sorribes Tormo has excelled as properly.