Anticipated Factors, April 8: Carlos Alcaraz Takes On His Elder

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Anticipated Factors, my new brief, every day podcast, highlights three numbers as an instance stats, developments, and attention-grabbing trivia across the sport.

Up right now: Alcaraz wasn’t born but when his opponent right now first cracked the highest 100, Sofia Kenin suffers one other disappointing loss, and the Bogota draw leaves me feeling light-headed.

Scroll down for a transcript.

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Music: Love is the Chase by Admiral Bob (c) copyright 2021. Licensed beneath a Artistic Commons Attribution Noncommercial (3.0) license. Ft: Apoxode

The Anticipated Factors podcast continues to be a piece in progress, so please let me know what you suppose.

Tough transcript of right now’s episode:

The primary quantity is 56, Feliciano Lopez’s ATP rating on Could fifth, 2003. That day kicked off the Italian Open, the place the 21-year-old lefty misplaced his first spherical match to Wayne Ferreira. It was additionally the day that Carlos Alcaraz Garfia was born. Nearly 18 years later, Alcaraz is without doubt one of the finest prospects within the males’s recreation, and Lopez is without doubt one of the few 39-year-olds nonetheless grinding it out. Immediately, age can be one of many many contrasts in proof when the 2 Spaniards face off in a second spherical match in Marbella. Lopez represents the dwindling breed of one-handed backhands and isn’t afraid to maneuver ahead, whereas Alcaraz is a double-handed righty with a dogged baseline recreation. Lopez peaked at #12 within the rankings and by no means gained a singles occasion above the ATP 500 stage, so Alcaraz absolutely hopes to achieve higher heights. But for pure longevity, equaling the lefty is a frightening process—he’s just a few victories away from his five hundredth profession tour-level win.

Our second quantity is 20, the variety of break factors confronted by Sofia Kenin in her loss to Lauren Davis yesterday. Kenin, WTA #4 and reigning Roland Garros finalist, struggled on Charleston’s inexperienced clay, falling break level down in 10 of her 14 service video games. Regardless of having lower than a 25% likelihood of pulling off the upset in accordance with the Tennis Summary Elo scores, Davis transformed eight of them, barely higher than the seven breaks she coughed again up. In six tournaments this 12 months, Kenin has gained solely 7 matches, none towards a top-25 participant. Her 2020 Australian Open serves as a reminder of how excessive her peak stage will be, however her latest struggles have dropped her Elo ranking right down to seventeenth, and he or she’s exterior the highest 40 within the 2021 Race to Shenzhen. There merely isn’t room within the WTA prime 10 for the all the superb gamers in Kenin’s age cohort—if she doesn’t flip issues round quickly, she might discover herself the odd girl out.

Immediately’s third and remaining quantity is 2, the variety of the eight unique seeds remaining after barely one and a half rounds of play Bogota. Every day listeners may fear that I’m irrationally obsessive about the low-level Copa Colsanitas, however the final 24 hours merely proved how fascinating a WTA 250 on high-altitude clay will be. All 4 seeded gamers on Wednesday’s schedule have been upset, starting with #6 Jasmine Paolini, a sufferer in three units to Bogota-specialist Lara Arruabarrena. Subsequent was eighth seed Wang Yafan, a fish out of water on clay. Following her, #3 Arantxa Rus misplaced a see-saw, 7-6 2-6 6-1 battle to qualifier Nuria Parrizas Diaz, the story of the match as a 29-year-old taking part in her first tour occasion. Lastly, prime seed Zheng Saisai gained solely 5 video games towards 127th-ranked Stefanie Voegele. With the 2nd and 4th seeds already gone by way of opening-round upsets, it’s becoming that the remaining favourite, in accordance with the Tennis Summary forecast, is unseeded Sara Errani, who knocked out Sara Sorribes Tormo in a first-round slugfest. Eight years in the past, the monster-serving Ivo Karlovic gained a title in Bogota; if Errani and her underarm serve go all the way in which, the Colombia capital can have really come full circle.

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