Soiled Water: Capitals vs. Bruins – Staff Metrics And Head-To-Head Traits


Picture By Matt Stone/MediaNews Group/Boston Herald

The Washington Capitals and Boston Bruins are midway by way of their eight-game collection scheduled for the 2020-21 common season, with the fifth sport set for Thursday night time at Capital One Enviornment. Thursday night time’s tilt is the primary of three video games with the Bruins within the month of April, with the next two conferences in happening in Beantown. The fourth and ultimate assembly of the season would be the regular-season finale in DC.

Upfront of Thursday night time’s contest, we take a better have a look at the present stats for every crew and some of the metrics from the earlier head-to-head video games so as to present just a little extra context to the collection.


The Boston Bruins (20-10-6, fourth within the East Division) common 9.8 penalty minutes per sport, the second-most within the league.

The Washington Capitals (25-10-4, first within the East Division) have scored 130 objectives, which ranks third within the NHL, averaging 3.3 per sport.

Final 10 Video games

Capitals: 6-4-0, averaging 2.9 objectives, 5 assists, 3.3 penalties and eight.5 penalty minutes whereas giving up 2.8 objectives per sport with a .902 save proportion.

Bruins: 6-2-2, averaging 3.o objectives, 5, three penalties and 6.2 penalty minutes whereas giving up 2.6 objectives per sport with a .914 save proportion.


The Capitals and Bruins have cut up the primary 4 video games of the collection, splitting every of the primary two-game units.

The next desk supplies a number of of the essential stats from every of the earlier 4 video games of the collection.

The Bruins led the shot battle within the first two video games, whereas the Capitals answered again to guide within the final two video games of the collection.

The Capitals are two for 10 on the facility play in opposition to the Bruins. The Bruins are simply considered one of 12 on the facility play in opposition to the Capitals.

The Capitals at present have the eighth greatest energy play within the league at 24.0%. The Bruins have the seventh greatest energy play at 24.1%.

The Capitals penalty kill is ranked seventh within the league at 82.9% whereas the Bruins have the league’s greatest penalty kill at 88.7%.


Listed below are the Capitals stats for high-danger shot makes an attempt proportion (HDCF% – blue), high-danger objectives for proportion (HDGF% – orange), scoring possibilities for proportion (SCF% – crimson) and anticipated objectives for proportion (xGF% – cyan) for the earlier 4 video games:

Excluding the third sport of the collection, Boston has led in scoring possibilities for and high-danger pictures for within the earlier three video games. The Capitals have led in anticipated objectives for percentages within the final two video games.


Save Proportion and Targets In opposition to Common

The next graph updates the save proportion (SV%) and objectives in opposition to common (GAA) for every of the East Division goaltenders at five-on-five play. (Click on to enlarge).

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Vitek Vanecek stopped 38 of 39 pictures he confronted in opposition to the Islanders on Tuesday night time. Consequently, he strikes again into the highest quadrant (higher proper) of goaltenders within the East Division.

Tuuka Rask has picked up his sport as of late, and is now tied in save proportion with fellow Bruins netminder Jaroslav Halak at .913%, however each netminders fall outdoors of the highest quadrant.

Targets Allowed and Anticipated Targets Allowed Differential (xGA – GA) And Targets Saved Above Common (GSAA)

The next graph plots the objectives in opposition to (GA) and anticipated objectives in opposition to (xGA) differential (xGA –  GA) and the objectives saved above common (GSAA) for all East Division goaltenders.

As soon as once more, Vitek Vanecek is within the prime quadrant within the East Division with reference to objectives and anticipated objectives differential and objectives saved above common. Each Bruins netminders fall outdoors of the highest quadrant.


Drilling down just a little extra, lets check out the person sport efficiency for every participant on every crew for every sport of the collection. It will permit us to not solely see which gamers have made an influence in every sport, however will even permit us to start to develop a greater understanding of how every sport within the collection has been determined, and permit perception into key developments for each groups.

GAME 1 – AT WASHINGTON (1/30/2021)


The Bruins led in a majority of the important thing shot and possession metrics within the first sport of the season collection. The Capitals fourth line of Carl Hagelin, Nic Dowd and Garnet Hathaway was the perfect Capitals line on this one.


Brad Marchand, Charlie McAvoy, Chris Wagner, David Krejci, David Pastrnak, Jakub Zboril, Carson Kuhlman, Kevin Miller and Nick Ritch all had dominating performances, statistically.

GAME 2 – AT WASHINGTON (2/1/2021)


Recreation 2 of the collection was similar to the primary sport, with the Bruins dominating the shot and possession metrics. Jakub Vrana had the perfect sport amongst Capitals forwards.


The Capitals did just a little higher job in opposition to the Bruins prime six on this sport, though the Bruins stars nonetheless had a reasonably good sport general.

GAME 3 – AT BOSTON (3/3/2021)


The Capitals gained the superior possession and shot stats battle within the third sport of the collection. Ovechkin and Kuznetsov had stellar video games with reference to scoring possibilities for and anticipated objectives for percentages.

But it surely was the Capitals fourth line (once more) that was the perfect on this sport, neutralizing the Bruins prime line, producing scoring possibilities with 20% offensive zone shift begins.


Jack Studnicka and Trent Frederic had been the one Bruins to publish optimistic scoring possibilities for and anticipated objectives for percentages within the sport.

GAME 4 – AT BOSTON ( 3/05/2021)


The Capitals turned in one other encouraging sport, statistically. Dmitry Orlov and Justin Schultz (second defensive pair) dominated at 5v5 play. T.J. Oshie additionally had sport on this one.



Exterior of the remaining 4 head-to-head video games, the Bruins have a better power of schedule for different video games remaining within the common season.

Extra on the remaining schedules for the highest groups within the East Division will be discovered right here.

By Jon Sorensen
Comply with @nova_caps


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