Tremendous Bowl LV will function the quarterback who many regard because the G.O.A.T. — Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady— and the younger quarterback who’s arguably finest positioned to some day wrestle that distinction from Brady, and that is Kansas Metropolis Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes II.
I’ve written about their particular person faculty careers earlier than (Brady right here and Mahomes right here) however by no means instantly in contrast them. The reality is, you actually cannot — a minimum of with out correct context. Brady did not begin till his junior yr and he was a gradual hand for run-first Michigan groups that have been content material to throw the ball lower than 30 instances a recreation. Mahomes was a starter by the the fourth recreation of his faculty profession and, at instances, he threw as many passes in a single recreation as Brady did in three. A direct comparability is out because of the totally different eras and offensive philosophies. However, taking a look at their faculty careers facet by facet is one solution to see a few of the methods faculty soccer has modified since a thin Tom Brady took up residence in Ann Arbor in 1996.
Brady entered faculty in 1996 at a college, Michigan, that on the time had claims to 10 nationwide championships and his Wolverines received one other title in 1997. Mahomes was a freshman in faculty practically 20 years later, in 2014, at a college (Texas Tech) that has by no means completed a season ranked within the prime 10 of the AP ballot. The Crimson Raiders certified for one bowl recreation in Mahomes’ three seasons in Lubbock they usually received a complete of 16 video games in his three seasons in faculty.
However regardless of their generational age divide and regardless of enjoying for applications that fall in two totally different elements of the spectrum — Michigan’s all-time successful proportion (.727) ranks third amongst Energy 5 faculties and Texas Tech’s successful proportion (.553) ranks thirty eighth — the 2 quarterbacks will meet in Tampa, Fla., every wanting so as to add one other Tremendous Bowl ring to a different finger.
SUPER BOWL LV ROSTERS: The place the Chiefs and Buccaneers went to varsity
When Brady and Mahomes began their first video games
Brady did not begin till his junior season in 1998. He was the backup when the Wolverines received the nationwide title within the 1997 season and he began 23 video games as an upperclassman after showing in simply six video games in his first two seasons, when he tried a complete of 20 passes, finishing 15 of them for 129 yards and an interception. In the meantime, Mahomes began the fourth recreation of his faculty profession as a real freshman, however that solely got here after starter Davis Webb was injured.
Mahomes completed his freshman season as Texas Tech’s beginning quarterback, a job he maintained as a sophomore and junior, earlier than he left for the NFL.
Within the two seasons previous to Mahomes coming into faculty, redshirt freshmen quarterbacks received the Heisman Trophy — Texas A&M’s Johnny Manziel and Florida State’s Jameis Winston — so not solely have been younger gamers, particularly younger quarterbacks, able to incomes vital enjoying time, they might additionally carry out on the highest stage of the game.
How usually Michigan and Texas Tech threw the ball
As a junior, Brady tried a career-high 323 passes in 12 video games, which is a mean of 26.9 per recreation. When Mahomes was a junior, he accomplished 388 passes — 65 greater than Brady tried throughout his junior season. Mahomes had 591 makes an attempt in 2016, or 49.3 per recreation, a yr after he threw the ball 573 instances.
Whereas Mahomes, who performed for present Arizona Cardinals head coach Kliff Kingsbury within the pass-happy Large 12, was arguably even an outlier for his personal period when it comes to cross makes an attempt, he was consultant of contemporary offenses at any stage. When Brady was a freshman, the nationwide chief in cross makes an attempt was UNLV’s Jon Denton with 506 and in Brady’s remaining season in 1999, Hawaii’s Dan Robinson led the nation with 556. When Brady was a highschool senior, 453 was the high-water mark in faculty soccer for cross makes an attempt.
In Brady’s first season as a starter, Michigan ran the ball 480 instances in comparison with Brady’s 323 cross makes an attempt (backup quarterback Drew Henson had 45). In Mahomes’ remaining season in faculty, Texas Tech averaged 22 extra cross makes an attempt than rush makes an attempt per recreation.
On the acute finish, Mahomes threw the ball 88 instances towards Oklahoma as a junior and he had 62 makes an attempt towards Kansas State earlier within the season. Eighty-eight makes an attempt is roughly three video games’ value of makes an attempt for Brady at Michigan.
The effectivity of passing offenses
In Brady’s freshman season, the nationwide chief in yards per cross try was Florida’s Danny Wuerffel, who averaged 10.1 yards per try, and in Mahomes’ junior season, the nationwide chief was Oklahoma’s Baker Mayfield, who averaged 11.1 yards per try. That comparability of nationwide leaders is reflective of the instances and that 1-yard common distinction in cross makes an attempt can be instructive when evaluating Brady and Mahomes. Brady averaged 7.5 yards per try as each a junior and senior, whereas Mahomes averaged 8.5 yards per try as a junior.
Earlier than Mayfield, there had solely been two faculty soccer seasons through which the nationwide chief averaged greater than 11 yards per try: BYU’s Ty Detmer in 1989 at 11.1 yards per try and Virginia Tech’s Michael Vick in 1999 at 11.3. Since then the final 4 nationwide leaders have additionally averaged greater than 11 yards per try.
Whereas Brady’s passing effectivity ranking was between 133 and 138 as a sophomore, junior and senior, Mahomes’s ranking in his three seasons of school was 151.2, 147.2 and 157.0, respectively. At his peak, Mahomes posted single-game passing effectivity rankings of 227.7 (towards Louisiana Tech in 2016), 215.3 (Baylor in 2016) and 194.8 (Stephen F. Austin in 2016). The Texas Tech gunslinger performed in an period the place the nationwide chief in passing effectivity ranking (Oklahoma’s Baker Mayfield) throughout Mahomes’ junior yr in 2016 averaged the next ranking (196.4) than all however two of Mahomes’ single-game rankings throughout his profession.
Patrick Mahomes’ faculty information
Coming into the 2020 faculty soccer season, Mahomes held the next FBS information:
- Most complete yards in a recreation: 819 yards towards Oklahoma (2016)
- Most passing yards gained towards one opponent (min. three video games): 553 towards Baylor (2014-16)
- Tied for probably the most passing yards in a recreation: 734 towards Oklahoma (2016)
Mahomes’ identify seems within the FBS report guide 15 different instances for different notable performances and stat traces in his profession, whereas Brady’s identify is nowhere to be discovered within the FBS report guide. Whereas nationwide statistical leaders do not at all times play for nationwide championship contenders, it speaks to the present period of school soccer that Mahomes was in a position to put up the single-game, single-season and profession numbers that he did with out Texas Tech ever contending for something extra vital than a bowl recreation. In Brady’s remaining season, the nationwide chief in passing yards per try was Michael Vick who performed for 11-1 Virginia Tech, which completed No. 2 within the AP ballot, and the chief in completion proportion and passing yards, Marshall’s Chad Pennington, performed for a group that went 13-0 and completed No. 10.